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- Swing Left Voter Registration Fund http://tinyurl.com/slgbvoterregfund
- 20 electoral college votes
- Cook Political Report: Tossup
- 2016 Election Margin: Trump +1.2%
House Races (source: 2018 Swing Left District Resources)
- Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
- Population Centers: Levittown, 53,000; Warminster, 32,700; Bristol, 9,726; Doylestown, 8,380, Bucks County Seat; Quakertown, 8,798
- Geography: the populous southern third of the district, “Lower Bucks” county, is flat and near sea level. The county’s northern regions (colloquially referred to as Upper Bucks) are renowned for their natural scenery, farmland, and colonial history.
- Citizenry: as of the 2010 census, there were 625,249 people. The racial makeup of the county was 86.6% White non-Hispanic, 3.9% Black or African American, 0.3% Native American, 4.1% Asian, 0.1% Pacific Islander, 4.4% Hispanic or Latino of any race. 50% of Bucks County residents have at least a high school diploma, while another 43% have a higher degree. 6% have no high school diploma. The median income for a household in the county is $59,727.
- Learn more at PA-01
- Cook Political Report: Likely Democrat
- Population Centers: Allentown, 118,032; Bethlehem. 74,982; Lower Macungie Township, 30,633 ; Easton, 26,800
- Geography: the district includes includes all of Lehigh and Northampton Counties and part of Monroe County. The city of Allentown, is the largest city in the Lehigh Valley, a geographic region bounded by Blue Mountain, a ridge of the Appalachian mountain range, which varies from 1,000 to 1,600 feet (490 m) in height about 17 miles (27 km) north of the city, and South Mountain, a ridge of 500 to 1,000 feet (300 m) in height that borders the southern edge of the city.
- Economy: the economy of the area used to rely heavily on manufacturing (including steel plants), but the town has re-centered its focus into the service industries, to the point that in 2016, the Urban Land Institute listed Allentown as a “national success story” for its downtown redevelopment and transformation. In addition, the Neighborhood Improvement Zone (NIZ) was created by the Pennsylvania State Legislature in 2009 to encourage development in Allentown. The NIZ consists of approximately 128 acres in downtown Allentown and the new Riverfront district with of hope of not just revitalizing the economy but to encourage young professionals to live and work downtown.
- Learn more at PA-07
- Cook Political Report: Lean Democrat
- Population Centers: Scranton: 76,089; Wilkes-Barre: 41,498; Hazelton: 25,340; Dunmore: 14,057; Kingston: 13,182; Scranton: 76,089
- Geography and Climate: this district makes up the northeast corner of the state, bordering New York and New Jersey. It encompasses Luzerne, Lackawanna, Monroe, Pike, and Wayne Counties, in order of population. The largest population centers are Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, and Hazleton, which fall along the Interstate-81 Corridor. The Scranton-Wilkes-Barre metro area is the fourth largest metro area in the state. The Pocono Mountains in the southeast of the district provide year-round recreation opportunities. The district is generally warm and humid in the summer, and cold and snowy in the winter.
- Citizenry: the total population, as of the most recent census, is just over 806,000. The population is mostly white; the racial makeup is 87% White, 5.3% Black or African American, 1.4% Asian, and 7.6% Hispanic or Latino of any race. Among the five counties, Monroe is an outlier, with 13% Black or African American and 13% Hispanic or Latino. The population is fairly evenly distributed across age groups, with the exception of the college-age population: 22.8% under 18, 8.2% between 18 and 24, 27.1% between 25 and 44, 24.4% between 45 and 64, and 17.8% 65 and older. Northeast Pennsylvania has a slightly lower percent of people with college degrees, and slightly higher level of poverty, compared to the rest of the state.
- Industries: the “Wyoming Valley” runs through this region, and was once known for its many anthracite coal mines, largely shuttered after WWII. Today, top industries in the area are healthcare and social assistance, retail, manufacturing, accommodations and food services, and transportation and warehousing. The manufacturing sector produces electronics, fabricated metal products, plastics and rubber products, food, and chemicals. Its proximity to major population centers, along with available land and major interstates, have made it attractive for logistics-related companies.
- Learn more at PA-08
- Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
- Population Centers: Harrisburg: 48,904; York: 43,859; Carlisle: 19,162; Hershey: 14,257
- Geography: PA-10 contains Harrisburg, the state capital, and is the home of the Capitol Building, and is a popular attraction. Harrisburg is also the home of the Cathedral of St. Patrick, and the John Harris-Simon Cameron Mansion, former home of one of the founders of Harrisburg. In York, there is the Colonial Complex, which helps to commemorate York’s nine-month term as the capital of the United States. York is also the home of the Weightlifting Hall of Fame.
- Citizenry: PA-10 has a population of 712,217 people, of which 49.8% are male, and 50.2% are female. The area is predominantly white (93.76%) while Hispanic (3.64%) and Black (2.25%) making up the rest of the population. Unemployment is high in the area at 8.9%, and the median household income is $46,590.
- Learn more at PA-10
- Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
- Population Centers: Erie, 101,786; New Castle, 23,273; Hermitage, 16,220; Sharon, 14,038; Butler 13,757; Meadville: 13,388
- Geography: PA-16 is located in northwestern Pennsylvania including all of Crawford, Erie, Law- rence, and Mercer counties and the western half of Butler county. It borders Ohio to the west and Lake Erie to the north. PA-16 lies east of the Allegheny Mountains and within the Appalachian Plat eaus Province, an area of high hills, steep valleys, lakes, forests, and streams. Abundant reserves of coal, oil, and natural gas are located the southeast corner of PA-16 and have contributed to the region’s historic steel and manufacturing industries. Major interstate highways, including I-90, I-80 and I-79, run through the district. The Pittsburgh metropolitan area provides an economic hub to the south and the district’s rich history continues to attract tourists.
- Citizenry: the population of 705,687 is mostly white and somewhat older than the US population as a whole. 91.8% of residents are white and 4.4% are African-American. About 2.2% identify as Hispanic. Unemployment ranges from 4.1% to 5%, compared to 3.9% for the US overall. Median household income range from $47,094 to $63,345, compared to $55,322 for the US. The district’s poverty rate (13.7% for individuals and 9.6% for families) is lower than the US average. About 58.7% of households receive Social Security, compared to 48.5% for the US; 25.4% receive public assistance, compared to 21.1% for the US. Opioid addiction is a serious problem throughout PA-16. In Erie County, one person dies of an overdose every week, while Mercer County has seen a 120% increase in drug-related deaths in the last 2 years.
- Learn more at PA-16
- Cook Political Report: Likely Democrat
- Population Centers: Franklin Park (13,470); Aliquippa (9,415); Economy (9,069); Beaver Falls (8,897); Ellwood City (7,735); Ambridge (7,023); New Brighton (5,992); Sewickley (3,827)
- Geography: the district contains all of Beaver County (444 square miles). The Ohio and the Beaver rivers flow through the county. The district also contains western Allegheny County, including suburban areas to the north and west of Pittsburgh.
- Citizenry: PA-17’s breakdown of race/ethnicity is as follows: 81.6% White, 11% Black, 6.4% Hispanic/Latino, 3.1 % Asian. The district’s high school graduation rate of 89% is slightly higher than the national average (87%). Median household income ($53,599) is almost exactly equivalent to the national average. However, the district’s percentage of persons below the poverty level of 16% is higher than the national average of 11%.
- Learn more at PA-17
Critical State Races
- Sister District MA/RI Team is focusing on the Pennsylvania State Legislature in 2020